Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce Contact Rates during a Simulated Influenza Pandemic
Identifieur interne : 001382 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001381; suivant : 001383Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce Contact Rates during a Simulated Influenza Pandemic
Auteurs : Michael J. Haber [États-Unis] ; Davis K. Shay [États-Unis] ; Xiaohong M. Davis [États-Unis] ; Rajan Patel [États-Unis] ; Xiaoping Jin [États-Unis] ; Eric Weintraub [États-Unis] ; Evan Orenstein [États-Unis] ; William W. Thompson [États-Unis]Source :
- Emerging Infectious Diseases [ 1080-6040 ] ; 2007.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Caractéristiques familiales, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Flambées de maladies (), Grippe humaine (), Grippe humaine (mortalité), Grippe humaine (transmission), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Humains, Modèles théoriques, Mâle, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Planification en santé, Processus stochastiques, Simulation numérique, Soins de longue durée, Sous-type H2N2 du virus de la grippe A, Sujet âgé, Traçage des contacts, Établissements scolaires, États-Unis d'Amérique (épidémiologie).
- MESH :
- mortalité : Grippe humaine.
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, États-Unis d'Amérique.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Caractéristiques familiales, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Flambées de maladies, Grippe humaine, Humains, Modèles théoriques, Mâle, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Planification en santé, Processus stochastiques, Simulation numérique, Soins de longue durée, Sous-type H2N2 du virus de la grippe A, Sujet âgé, Traçage des contacts, Établissements scolaires.
- Wicri :
- geographic : États-Unis.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Computer Simulation, Contact Tracing, Disease Outbreaks (prevention & control), Family Characteristics, Female, Health Planning, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Influenza A Virus, H2N2 Subtype, Influenza, Human (epidemiology), Influenza, Human (mortality), Influenza, Human (prevention & control), Influenza, Human (transmission), Long-Term Care, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, Schools, Stochastic Processes, United States (epidemiology).
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : United States.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- mortality : Influenza, Human.
- prevention & control : Disease Outbreaks, Influenza, Human.
- transmission : Influenza, Human.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Computer Simulation, Contact Tracing, Family Characteristics, Female, Health Planning, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Influenza A Virus, H2N2 Subtype, Long-Term Care, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, Schools, Stochastic Processes.
Abstract
Measures to decrease contact between persons during an influenza pandemic have been included in pandemic response plans. We used stochastic simulation models to explore the effects of school closings, voluntary confinements of ill persons and their household contacts, and reductions in contacts among long-term care facility (LTCF) residents on pandemic-related illness and deaths. Our findings suggest that school closings would not have a substantial effect on pandemic-related outcomes in the absence of measures to reduce out-of-school contacts. However, if persons with influenzalike symptoms and their household contacts were encouraged to stay home, then rates of illness and death might be reduced by ≈50%. By preventing ill LTCF residents from making contact with other residents, illness and deaths in this vulnerable population might be reduced by ≈60%. Restricting the activities of infected persons early in a pandemic could decrease negative health impact.
Url:
DOI: 10.3201/eid1304.060828
PubMed: 17553273
PubMed Central: 2725959
Affiliations:
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream Pmc, to step Corpus: 000946
- to stream Pmc, to step Curation: 000946
- to stream Pmc, to step Checkpoint: 000B67
- to stream PubMed, to step Corpus: 000282
- to stream PubMed, to step Curation: 000282
- to stream PubMed, to step Checkpoint: 000260
- to stream Ncbi, to step Merge: 000225
- to stream Ncbi, to step Curation: 000225
- to stream Ncbi, to step Checkpoint: 000225
- to stream Main, to step Merge: 001398
- to stream Main, to step Curation: 001382
Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce Contact Rates during a Simulated Influenza Pandemic</title><author><name sortKey="Haber, Michael J" sort="Haber, Michael J" uniqKey="Haber M" first="Michael J." last="Haber">Michael J. Haber</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Shay, Davis K" sort="Shay, Davis K" uniqKey="Shay D" first="Davis K." last="Shay">Davis K. Shay</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Davis, Xiaohong M" sort="Davis, Xiaohong M" uniqKey="Davis X" first="Xiaohong M." last="Davis">Xiaohong M. Davis</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Patel, Rajan" sort="Patel, Rajan" uniqKey="Patel R" first="Rajan" last="Patel">Rajan Patel</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff3">Amgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, California, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Amgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, California</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Californie</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jin, Xiaoping" sort="Jin, Xiaoping" uniqKey="Jin X" first="Xiaoping" last="Jin">Xiaoping Jin</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Weintraub, Eric" sort="Weintraub, Eric" uniqKey="Weintraub E" first="Eric" last="Weintraub">Eric Weintraub</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Orenstein, Evan" sort="Orenstein, Evan" uniqKey="Orenstein E" first="Evan" last="Orenstein">Evan Orenstein</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff4">Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Connecticut</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thompson, William W" sort="Thompson, William W" uniqKey="Thompson W" first="William W." last="Thompson">William W. Thompson</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">17553273</idno><idno type="pmc">2725959</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2725959</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:2725959</idno><idno type="doi">10.3201/eid1304.060828</idno><date when="2007">2007</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000946</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000946</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000946</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000946</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Checkpoint">000B67</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Checkpoint">000B67</idno><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><idno type="RBID">pubmed:17553273</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000282</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000282</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000282</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000282</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">000260</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">000260</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000225</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000225</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">000225</idno><idno type="wicri:doubleKey">1080-6040:2007:Haber M:effectiveness:of:interventions</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">001398</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">001382</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">001382</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce Contact Rates during a Simulated Influenza Pandemic</title><author><name sortKey="Haber, Michael J" sort="Haber, Michael J" uniqKey="Haber M" first="Michael J." last="Haber">Michael J. Haber</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Shay, Davis K" sort="Shay, Davis K" uniqKey="Shay D" first="Davis K." last="Shay">Davis K. Shay</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Davis, Xiaohong M" sort="Davis, Xiaohong M" uniqKey="Davis X" first="Xiaohong M." last="Davis">Xiaohong M. Davis</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Patel, Rajan" sort="Patel, Rajan" uniqKey="Patel R" first="Rajan" last="Patel">Rajan Patel</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff3">Amgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, California, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Amgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, California</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Californie</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jin, Xiaoping" sort="Jin, Xiaoping" uniqKey="Jin X" first="Xiaoping" last="Jin">Xiaoping Jin</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Weintraub, Eric" sort="Weintraub, Eric" uniqKey="Weintraub E" first="Eric" last="Weintraub">Eric Weintraub</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Orenstein, Evan" sort="Orenstein, Evan" uniqKey="Orenstein E" first="Evan" last="Orenstein">Evan Orenstein</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff4">Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Connecticut</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thompson, William W" sort="Thompson, William W" uniqKey="Thompson W" first="William W." last="Thompson">William W. Thompson</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Emerging Infectious Diseases</title><idno type="ISSN">1080-6040</idno><idno type="eISSN">1080-6059</idno><imprint><date when="2007">2007</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Contact Tracing</term><term>Disease Outbreaks (prevention & control)</term><term>Family Characteristics</term><term>Female</term><term>Health Planning</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Influenza A Virus, H2N2 Subtype</term><term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term><term>Influenza, Human (mortality)</term><term>Influenza, Human (prevention & control)</term><term>Influenza, Human (transmission)</term><term>Long-Term Care</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Models, Theoretical</term><term>Schools</term><term>Stochastic Processes</term><term>United States (epidemiology)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Caractéristiques familiales</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Flambées de maladies ()</term><term>Grippe humaine ()</term><term>Grippe humaine (mortalité)</term><term>Grippe humaine (transmission)</term><term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term><term>Humains</term><term>Modèles théoriques</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Planification en santé</term><term>Processus stochastiques</term><term>Simulation numérique</term><term>Soins de longue durée</term><term>Sous-type H2N2 du virus de la grippe A</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Traçage des contacts</term><term>Établissements scolaires</term><term>États-Unis d'Amérique (épidémiologie)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>United States</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortalité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="prevention & control" xml:lang="en"><term>Disease Outbreaks</term><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="transmission" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>États-Unis d'Amérique</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Computer Simulation</term><term>Contact Tracing</term><term>Family Characteristics</term><term>Female</term><term>Health Planning</term><term>Humans</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Influenza A Virus, H2N2 Subtype</term><term>Long-Term Care</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Models, Theoretical</term><term>Schools</term><term>Stochastic Processes</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Caractéristiques familiales</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Flambées de maladies</term><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>Humains</term><term>Modèles théoriques</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Planification en santé</term><term>Processus stochastiques</term><term>Simulation numérique</term><term>Soins de longue durée</term><term>Sous-type H2N2 du virus de la grippe A</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Traçage des contacts</term><term>Établissements scolaires</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>États-Unis</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Measures to decrease contact between persons during an influenza pandemic have been included in pandemic response plans. We used stochastic simulation models to explore the effects of school closings, voluntary confinements of ill persons and their household contacts, and reductions in contacts among long-term care facility (LTCF) residents on pandemic-related illness and deaths. Our findings suggest that school closings would not have a substantial effect on pandemic-related outcomes in the absence of measures to reduce out-of-school contacts. However, if persons with influenzalike symptoms and their household contacts were encouraged to stay home, then rates of illness and death might be reduced by ≈50%. By preventing ill LTCF residents from making contact with other residents, illness and deaths in this vulnerable population might be reduced by ≈60%. Restricting the activities of infected persons early in a pandemic could decrease negative health impact.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>États-Unis</li></country><region><li>Californie</li><li>Connecticut</li><li>Géorgie (États-Unis)</li></region></list><tree><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Géorgie (États-Unis)"><name sortKey="Haber, Michael J" sort="Haber, Michael J" uniqKey="Haber M" first="Michael J." last="Haber">Michael J. Haber</name></region><name sortKey="Davis, Xiaohong M" sort="Davis, Xiaohong M" uniqKey="Davis X" first="Xiaohong M." last="Davis">Xiaohong M. Davis</name><name sortKey="Jin, Xiaoping" sort="Jin, Xiaoping" uniqKey="Jin X" first="Xiaoping" last="Jin">Xiaoping Jin</name><name sortKey="Orenstein, Evan" sort="Orenstein, Evan" uniqKey="Orenstein E" first="Evan" last="Orenstein">Evan Orenstein</name><name sortKey="Patel, Rajan" sort="Patel, Rajan" uniqKey="Patel R" first="Rajan" last="Patel">Rajan Patel</name><name sortKey="Shay, Davis K" sort="Shay, Davis K" uniqKey="Shay D" first="Davis K." last="Shay">Davis K. Shay</name><name sortKey="Thompson, William W" sort="Thompson, William W" uniqKey="Thompson W" first="William W." last="Thompson">William W. Thompson</name><name sortKey="Weintraub, Eric" sort="Weintraub, Eric" uniqKey="Weintraub E" first="Eric" last="Weintraub">Eric Weintraub</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/H2N2V1/Data/Main/Exploration
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 001382 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd -nk 001382 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien
|wiki= Sante
|area= H2N2V1
|flux= Main
|étape= Exploration
|type= RBID
|clé= PMC:2725959
|texte= Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce Contact Rates during a Simulated Influenza Pandemic
}}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:17553273" \
| HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd \
| NlmPubMed2Wicri -a H2N2V1
| This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |  |